Empresas | Demanda por Crédito

Variação acumulada no ano 6,3%

Variação mensal -3,6%

Consumidor | Demanda por Crédito

Variação acumulada no ano 8,4%

Variação mensal -2,3%

Empresas | Recuperação de Crédito

Percentual médio no ano 38,7%

Percentual no mês 38,4%

Consumidor | Recuperação de Crédito

Percentual médio no ano 57,3%

Percentual no mês 57,8%

Cartão de Crédito | Cadastro Positivo

Ticket Médio R$ 1.280,32

Pontualidade do pagamento 77,9%

Empréstimo Pessoal | Cadastro Positivo

Ticket Médio R$ 402,57

Pontualidade do pagamento 82,6%

Veículos | Cadastro Positivo

Ticket Médio R$ 1.340,29

Pontualidade do pagamento 80,7%

Consignado | Cadastro Positivo

Ticket Médio R$ 268,95

Pontualidade do pagamento 92,0%

Tentativas de Fraudes

Acumulado no ano (em milhões) 6,94

No mês (em milhões) 1,15

Empresas | Inadimplência

Variação Anual 18,0%

No mês (em milhões) 8,1

MPEs | Inadimplência

Variação Anual 18,5%

No mês (em milhões) 7,7

Consumidor | Inadimplência

Percentual da população adulta 48,5%

No mês (em milhões) 79,2

Atividade do Comércio

Variação acumulada no ano 4,1%

Variação mensal 1,7%

Falência Requerida

Acumulado no ano 236

No mês 61

Recuperação Judicial Requerida

Acumulado no ano 638

No mês 167

Empresas | Demanda por Crédito

Variação acumulada no ano 6,3%

Variação mensal -3,6%

Consumidor | Demanda por Crédito

Variação acumulada no ano 8,4%

Variação mensal -2,3%

Empresas | Recuperação de Crédito

Percentual médio no ano 38,7%

Percentual no mês 38,4%

Consumidor | Recuperação de Crédito

Percentual médio no ano 57,3%

Percentual no mês 57,8%

Cartão de Crédito | Cadastro Positivo

Ticket Médio R$ 1.280,32

Pontualidade do pagamento 77,9%

Empréstimo Pessoal | Cadastro Positivo

Ticket Médio R$ 402,57

Pontualidade do pagamento 82,6%

Veículos | Cadastro Positivo

Ticket Médio R$ 1.340,29

Pontualidade do pagamento 80,7%

Consignado | Cadastro Positivo

Ticket Médio R$ 268,95

Pontualidade do pagamento 92,0%

Tentativas de Fraudes

Acumulado no ano (em milhões) 6,94

No mês (em milhões) 1,15

Empresas | Inadimplência

Variação Anual 18,0%

No mês (em milhões) 8,1

MPEs | Inadimplência

Variação Anual 18,5%

No mês (em milhões) 7,7

Consumidor | Inadimplência

Percentual da população adulta 48,5%

No mês (em milhões) 79,2

Atividade do Comércio

Variação acumulada no ano 4,1%

Variação mensal 1,7%

Falência Requerida

Acumulado no ano 236

No mês 61

Recuperação Judicial Requerida

Acumulado no ano 638

No mês 167

Marketing

Bank Risk Assessment: Data, Tech & Financial Compliance

Evaluate bank risks with Serasa Experian. Use data, AI, and Insights Hub to predict default, mitigate fraud, and ensure regulatory compliance.

Bank Risk Assessment: Data, Tech & Financial Compliance

The complexity of the financial system requires institutions to adopt solid bank risk assessment practices. In recent years, bank risk assessment has evolved rapidly, driven by digitalization and the growth of regulatory, operational, and cyber threats.

We, at Serasa Experian, understand that data, technology, and analytical intelligence are essential for more robust risk strategies. Bank risk assessment identifies, measures, and mitigates factors that affect assets, operations, and reputation, strengthening governance in an increasingly rigorous regulatory environment.

With the rise in fraud attempts and digital attacks, the need for integrated and predictive assessments grows. Modern analytical models enhance response capability and strengthen the institutions' resilience to the rapid changes in the financial market.

Principal Risks Faced by the Banking Sector

Exposure to risk in financial institutions is multidimensional and involves different fronts that directly influence the operation and reputation of banks. Principal types of risk faced by the sector include:

  • Credit Risk: Arises when customers or companies face difficulties in meeting financial commitments;

  • Market Risk: Associated with fluctuations in interest rates, exchange rates, and asset prices;

  • Liquidity Risk: Occurs when the institution has difficulty accessing necessary funds to honor obligations on time;

  • Operational Risk: Involves failures in internal processes, people, systems, or technology;

  • Cyber Risk: Grows with digitalization and the sophistication of fraud attempts, requiring constant monitoring.

These exposures highlight the importance of continuous and data-driven bank risk assessment, enabling that strategic decisions are based on consistent and updated models.

Digital transformation amplifies these challenges and especially affects marketing and media teams, which deal with large volumes of data and multiple channels. With faster and more complex decisions, the need for robust and continually updated analyses grows.

Essential Steps for Conducting a Modern Bank Risk Assessment

For risk management to be solid, institutions need to follow a continuous flow that involves:

  1. Risk Identification: Broad mapping of internal and external threats.

  2. Detailed Analysis: Assessment of the probability and operational, financial, and reputational impact.

  3. Measurement: Use of analytical models and historical data to quantify potential losses.

  4. Monitoring: Real-time tracking of indicators and anomalies.

  5. Mitigation: Definition of responses, controls, and contingency plans.

Today, this journey is deeply impacted by technological solutions that accelerate analytical insight, reduce subjectivity, and increase the accuracy of predictive models.

The Role of Data and Technology in Risk Assessment

We, at Serasa Experian, believe that data is the central element in the evolution of bank risk assessment. The combination of advanced analytics, artificial intelligence, and large informational databases allows for the anticipation of default behavior, identification of risk profiles, and detection of movements that deviate from expected patterns.

This same technological set also contributes to improving media, segmentation, and offer strategies, in addition to supporting customer churn forecasts. The ability to identify signs of churn helps banks act proactively, retaining high-value consumers and adjusting products and communications according to the behavior of each segment.

By reducing subjectivity and providing more assertive forecasts, the data-based analysis strengthens the entire risk assessment structure. This approach further enhances regulatory efficiency, as reports, dashboards, and indicators are continuously updated, making management more transparent and integrated.

Regulatory Compliance: Norms that Structure Risk Assessment

Financial compliance remains one of the pillars of bank risk assessment. In Brazil, Resolution No. 4,557/2017, from Conselho Monetário Nacional (CMN), establishes fundamental guidelines. Article 4 states:

“Institutions must implement a risk management structure, with policies, procedures, and internal controls appropriate to the size, nature of operations, complexity of products, services, activities, and processes, and the institution’s risk profile.”

International guidelines, such as Basel III, reinforce the need for capital structures compatible with the assumed risk and controls that reduce vulnerabilities associated with market volatility.

How Serasa Experian Solutions Enhance Bank Risk Assessment

Serasa Experian's solutions elevate the maturity of bank risk assessment by combining analytical intelligence, large volumes of data, and advanced predictive models. This integration strengthens strategic decisions, improves continuous monitoring, and offers a more precise view of the behaviors and patterns that impact bank risk.

Mosaic: Socioeconomic Intelligence to Segment Risks with Greater Precision

Mosaic offers an in-depth view of the behavior and socioeconomic composition of the Brazilian population. This solution allows banks to perform segmentations with greater granularity, identify groups with different risk levels, and develop analyses more aligned with the real profile of consumers.

This type of group segmentation directly relates to cluster companies studies, widely used in marketing to understand collective patterns and shared behaviors within specific segments.

Just as in marketing, where clusters allow for the definition of more precise and personalized strategies, in the banking context, this same concept strengthens predictive models and enhances the capacity to identify risks in a more targeted manner.

With this level of detail, institutions can also improve their predictive models and make more consistent decisions in areas such as credit and compliance. The enrichment of analyses through behavioral and geodemographic information expands visibility on trends and risks associated with specific segments.

Insights Hub: Data Centralization for Strategic Decisions

Our Insights Hub gathers internal and external data in a single environment, allowing for real-time analysis and continuous risk monitoring. This centralization facilitates the reading of indicators and increases the capacity of teams to respond quickly to changes in consumer behavior and market movements.

With customizable dashboards, automatic reports, and configurable alerts, the solution enables institutions to visualize risks in an integrated manner, monitor transactions, and identify atypical behaviors.

This structure also strengthens audience segmentation, allowing strategic areas to recognize specific patterns within the customer base and adjust actions with greater precision. This monitoring also strengthens fraud prevention and enhances the accuracy of media and segmentation strategies.

Furthermore, Insights Hub supports audits and regulatory services, offering consistent and accessible information for different areas. This integration accelerates decision-making and promotes greater alignment between credit, risk, marketing, and compliance teams.

Bank risk assessment will continue to be pressured by increasingly complex factors, especially given the growth of digital fraud attempts. This movement requires structures better prepared to quickly identify anomalies and respond to threats that evolve at high speed.

Regulatory changes are also becoming more frequent, demanding constant attention from institutions and greater integration between areas. At the same time, the volume of data from multiple channels expands the need for systems capable of consolidating information and generating reliable analyses.

In this context, fast decisions guided by insights become essential to maintain competitiveness. The trend is for artificial intelligence models, automation, and real-time data to become indispensable tools for strengthening institutions' resilience and improving bank risk assessment.

Checklist for Enhancing Bank Risk Assessment

STEP

ACTION DESCRIPTION

Define Objectives

Establish what the bank risk assessment should achieve and which indicators will be used.

Map Relevant Risks

Identify internal and external threats that impact operations, processes, and reputation.

Integrate Internal and External Data

Consolidate information from various areas and reliable external sources.

Implement Mosaic and Insights Hub

Use socioeconomic segmentation and data centralization for more accurate analyses.

Train Teams

Train teams in analytics, compliance, and the use of data-driven tools.

Monitor Indicators

Track critical metrics continuously and in real time.

Review Policies

Update procedures according to regulatory changes and new risk scenarios.

Document Processes

Record flows, controls, and evidence for audits and internal verifications.

The Role of Data in the Evolution of Risk Management

The challenges shaping the current financial environment demand increasingly robust and intelligence-driven risk management. Asset protection, operational efficiency, and institutional solidity depend directly on the ability to transform data into reliable decisions.

By integrating technology, predictive analytics, and segmentation instruments, solutions like Mosaic and Insights Hub broaden the view on risks and strengthen essential strategies for the sector. This combination elevates the maturity of institutions and contributes to safer, more agile decisions aligned with the future of the financial system.

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